Beauty Of The Nile
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 64
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-28 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 20/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |