Country Cherry
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 71
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 13/02/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |