5
Whispering Sea
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 56
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 02/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |