8

Awesomesauce
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 98
Remington Park · Race 7 - Ricks Memorial Stakes · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-05-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -13.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 13/02/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |