8

Awesomesauce

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 98

Remington Park · Race 7 - Ricks Memorial Stakes · 1m 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fair Grounds 20/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 12120/12C6C6 @ Fair Grounds 15/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 103 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark15/01/2026 · OR 103 par15/01C6OR 103C6 @ Fair Grounds 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fm 125 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 92 par13/02C6OR 92C5 @ Fair Grounds 14/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark14/03/2026 · OR 95 par14/03C5OR 95C5 @ Keeneland 24/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 99 · 1m1f Fm 118 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 99 par24/04C5OR 99C5 @ Churchill Downs 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 104 · 1m4f Gd 118 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 104 par23/05C5OR 104C1 @ Saratoga 28/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 99 · 1m3f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 99 par28/08C1OR 99projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Saratoga?8th3rd+4
2026-05-23Churchill Downs?6th6th0
2026-04-24Keeneland?5th6th−1
2026-03-14Fair Grounds?1st2nd−1
2026-02-13Fair Grounds?1st3rd−2
2026-01-15Fair Grounds?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1214/0328/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -13.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/20252nd10/147%91%+0.44
15/01/20263rd6/492%75%-0.17
13/02/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
14/03/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
24/04/20265th9/276%56%-0.21
23/05/20266th11/271%17%-0.54
28/08/20268th9/153%0%-0.53