IvyArcIvyArc
5

Fine Finish

4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 100

Remington Park · Race 7 - Ricks Memorial Stakes · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fair Grounds 07/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark07/02/2025 · OR 88 par7/02C6OR 88C6 @ Fair Grounds 21/03/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 90 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark21/03/2025 · OR 90 parC6 @ Lone Star 27/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 90 · 7f110y Gd 116 · below its mark27/04/2025 · OR 90 par27/04C6OR 90C6 @ Lone Star 01/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 89 · 7f110y Fm 120 · below its mark01/06/2025 · OR 89 parC6 @ Lone Star 12/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 90 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark12/07/2025 · OR 90 par12/07C6OR 90C6 @ Sam Houston Race Park 07/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 89 · 5f Fm 121 · beat its mark07/02/2026 · OR 89 parC0 @ Sam Houston Race Park 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m Fm 12022/03C?C7 @ Lone Star 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 94 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 94 parC5 @ Lone Star 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 96 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 96 par27/06C5OR 96projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Lone Star?2nd2nd0
2026-05-03Lone Star?5th7th−2
2026-03-22Sam Houston Race Park?2nd2nd0
2026-02-07Sam Houston Race Park?1st2nd−1
2025-07-12Lone Star?3rd4th−1
2025-06-01Lone Star?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/021/0622/0327/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength58%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/20253rd9/276%67%-0.10
21/03/20259th15/261%20%-0.41
27/04/20254th3/184%25%-0.59
01/06/20252nd4/596%83%-0.12
12/07/20253rd5/287%71%-0.15
07/02/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
22/03/20262nd7/282%80%-0.02
03/05/20265th9/488%43%-0.45
27/06/20262nd15/261%89%+0.28