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2

Gallant Greta

5yo Mare · 8-5 · OR 108

Remington Park · Race 7 - Ricks Memorial Stakes · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 24/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 70 · 1m Fm 126 · beat its mark24/04/2025 · OR 70 par24/04C6OR 70C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 22/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 68 · 1m Fm 126 · beat its mark22/06/2025 · OR 68 parC5 @ Saratoga 23/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 125 · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 75 par23/08C5OR 75C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 87 parC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 93 par25/10C5OR 93C6 @ Aqueduct 06/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fm 123 · beat its mark06/11/2025 · OR 95 parC5 @ Gulfstream 24/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 100 · 1m3f Gd 121 · below its mark24/12/2025 · OR 100 par24/12C5OR 100C1 @ Gulfstream 24/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 104 · 1m4f Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 104 parC1 @ Gulfstream 28/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 102 · 1m3f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 102 par28/02C1OR 102projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-28Gulfstream?5th0th+4
2026-01-24Gulfstream?9th4th+4
2025-12-24Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2025-11-06Aqueduct?1st2nd−1
2025-10-25Belmont At The Big A?2nd2nd0
2025-09-11Belmont At The Big A?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0411/0924/1228/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength71%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
22/06/20252nd2/189%88%-0.02
23/08/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
11/09/20252nd8/1397%86%-0.11
25/10/20252nd9/276%88%+0.11
06/11/20251st2/598%100%+0.02
24/12/20252nd10/147%86%+0.38
24/01/20269th20/10%0%0.00
28/02/20265th12/137%43%+0.06