7
Lucky Speech
5yo Mare · 8-5 · OR 107
Remington Park · Race 7 - Ricks Memorial Stakes · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Remington Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 27/11/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |