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6

Tizawiz

4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 100

Remington Park · Race 7 - Ricks Memorial Stakes · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Remington Park 24/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 63 · 5f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark24/08/2024 · OR 63 par24/08C6OR 63C6 @ Remington Park 14/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 62 · 7f110y Fm 118 · beat its mark14/09/2024 · OR 62 parC6 @ Remington Park 20/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 59 · 7f110y Fm 118 · beat its mark20/10/2024 · OR 59 par20/10C6OR 59C6 @ Lone Star 24/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m Fm 117 · below its mark24/05/2025 · OR 76 parC6 @ Lone Star 06/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 82 · 1m Slo 122 · beat its mark06/07/2025 · OR 82 par6/07C6OR 82C6 @ Sam Houston Race Park 07/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 88 · 5f Fm 121 · below its mark07/02/2026 · OR 88 parC5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 29/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 89 par29/03C5OR 89C5 @ Lone Star 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 87 · 7f110y Fm 124 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 87 parC5 @ Lone Star 28/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 93 par28/06C5OR 93projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Lone Star?5th5th0
2026-04-25Lone Star?1st2nd−1
2026-03-29Sam Houston Race Park?1st2nd−1
2026-02-07Sam Houston Race Park?2nd3rd−1
2025-07-06Lone Star?1st2nd−1
2025-05-24Lone Star?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0824/0529/0328/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength49%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/20243rd11/893%75%-0.18
14/09/20242nd10/1195%83%-0.12
20/10/20241st9/488%100%+0.12
24/05/20255th7/163%50%-0.13
06/07/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
07/02/20262nd5/174%86%+0.12
29/03/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
25/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
28/06/20265th6/168%56%-0.13