Unmerited Favor
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 107
Remington Park · Race 7 - Ricks Memorial Stakes · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |