7
Hola Joey
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 104
Remington Park · Race 8 - David M. Vance Stakes · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Remington Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-02-17 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -11.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 07/12/2024 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 01/02/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 17/02/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 30/03/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |