2
Perfect Magic
4yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 109
Remington Park · Race 8 - David M. Vance Stakes · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Remington Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 14/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |