6
Ridgewood Runner
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 101
Remington Park · Race 8 - David M. Vance Stakes · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-29 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-09-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 02/08/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |