4
Yo Banana Boy
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 96
Remington Park · Race 8 - David M. Vance Stakes · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |