Essential Storm
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 64
Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Lone Star | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Lone Star | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Lone Star | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 11/10/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 10/01/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |