9
Mr. J
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 69
Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Remington Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Remington Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 20/08/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 20/02/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 11% | -0.63 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 13% | -0.73 |