3

No Bull Pete

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 86

Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

25%

Place Prob

34%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Gulfstream 29/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS29/01C7C9 @ Lone Star 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 65 · 5f Fm 118 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 65 par28/06C9OR 65C6 @ Lone Star 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 77 par11/07C6OR 77C9 @ Remington Park 27/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 117 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 83 par27/08C9OR 83projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Remington Park?3rd3rd0
2026-07-11Lone Star?2nd-1th+3
2026-06-28Lone Star?2nd2nd0
2026-01-29Gulfstream?10th8th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0128/0611/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength56%

Delivery trend -13.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/01/202610th33/10%18%+0.18
28/06/20262nd9/153%86%+0.33
11/07/20262nd7/282%90%+0.08
27/08/20263rd2/189%71%-0.18