Onthethirstyside
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 62
Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-01-03 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |