2

Zorritos Dash

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 79

Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Remington Park 14/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 52 · 6f 118 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 52 par14/12C9OR 52C9 @ Sam Houston Race Park 11/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 32 · 1m70y Fas 119 · beat its mark11/01/2026 · OR 32 parC9 @ Sam Houston Race Park 07/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 40 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark07/02/2026 · OR 40 par7/02C9OR 40C9 @ Sam Houston Race Park 28/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 48 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 48 parC6 @ Sam Houston Race Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 67 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 67 par28/03C6OR 67C6 @ Lone Star 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 75 · 7f110y Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 75 parC9 @ Lone Star 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 78 par20/06C9OR 78C9 @ Lone Star 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 5f Fm 118 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 73 parC6 @ Lone Star 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 77 par11/07C6OR 77projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Lone Star?6th3rd+3
2026-06-28Lone Star?4th4th0
2026-06-20Lone Star?6th6th0
2026-05-10Lone Star?6th3rd+3
2026-03-28Sam Houston Race Park?2nd-1th+3
2026-02-28Sam Houston Race Park?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1228/0220/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/12/20257th25/10%14%+0.14
11/01/20264th7/163%50%-0.13
07/02/20262nd33/10%88%+0.88
28/02/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
28/03/20262nd9/153%80%+0.27
10/05/20266th5/174%38%-0.36
20/06/20266th15/261%29%-0.32
28/06/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
11/07/20266th10/147%50%+0.03