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5

Bourbon Life

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 78

Remington Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Oaklawn Park 12/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 98 · 1m1f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 98 par12/12C7OR 98C8 @ Will Rogers Downs 12/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 92 · 1m 122 · below its mark12/01/2026 · OR 92 parC5 @ Will Rogers Downs 02/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/02/2026 · OR 87 par2/02C5OR 87C5 @ Will Rogers Downs 23/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 87 · 1m 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 87 parC0 @ Will Rogers Downs 09/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m Fas 1209/03C?C7 @ Will Rogers Downs 17/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/03/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Will Rogers Downs 06/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 86 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 86 par6/04C7OR 86C7 @ Will Rogers Downs 27/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 85 parC8 @ Remington Park 06/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 80 · 6f110y 120 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 80 par6/09C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Remington Park?5th5th0
2026-04-27Will Rogers Downs?7th6th+1
2026-04-06Will Rogers Downs?2nd1st+1
2026-03-17Will Rogers Downs?4th3rd+1
2026-03-09Will Rogers Downs?4th4th0
2026-02-23Will Rogers Downs?1st-2th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1223/026/046/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend -4.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/202511th50/10%9%+0.09
12/01/20262nd7/491%88%-0.03
02/02/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71
23/02/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
09/03/20264th8/158%25%-0.33
17/03/20264th10/382%40%-0.42
06/04/20262nd15/890%83%-0.07
27/04/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
06/09/20265th16/116%20%+0.04