2
Daryl's Bolt
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85
Remington Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Remington Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |