3

Dbook

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85

Remington Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

86%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Turfway Park 01/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 80 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/02/2025 · OR 80 par1/02C7OR 80C7 @ Turfway Park 27/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 82 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/02/2025 · OR 82 parC7 @ Keeneland 10/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 88 · 1m110y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/04/2025 · OR 88 par10/04C7OR 88C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 92 · 1m70y Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/05/2025 · OR 92 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 25/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 82 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark25/06/2025 · OR 82 par25/06C8OR 82C8 @ Ellis Park 26/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m1f Fm 118 · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 84 parC8 @ Remington Park 05/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 84 · 1m 118 · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 84 par5/09C8OR 84C8 @ Remington Park 21/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 87 · 1m Fas 117 · below its mark21/09/2025 · OR 87 parC8 @ Remington Park 30/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 85 · 1m110y 121 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 85 par30/08C8OR 85projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Remington Park?1st1st0
2025-09-21Remington Park?3rd3rd0
2025-09-05Remington Park?3rd3rd0
2025-07-26Ellis Park?7th7th0
2025-06-25Churchill Downs?9th9th0
2025-05-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0228/055/0930/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -7.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/02/20252nd25/10%86%+0.86
27/02/20255th9/153%60%+0.07
10/04/20251st25/10%100%+1.00
28/05/20256th5/174%0%-0.74
25/06/20259th25/10%27%+0.27
26/07/20257th16/116%25%+0.09
05/09/20253rd3/184%50%-0.34
21/09/20253rd5/174%80%+0.06
30/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18