4
Algebra
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79
Remington Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Zia Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Zia Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 13/07/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 10/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 15/12/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |