5
Broadway Appeal
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 53
Remington Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-09 | Remington Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-06 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-04-22 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Remington Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2024-10-31 | Remington Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2024 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 07/12/2024 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 22/04/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/05/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/08/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |