7
John
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 78
Remington Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
71%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Remington Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Remington Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Lone Star | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/03/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 19/04/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/07/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 02/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 23/03/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 20/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |