1
Mcmusic
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 72
Remington Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 02/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 23/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 23/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 06/04/2026 | 8th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |