2
E Lion
4yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 111
Remington Park · Race 5 - Remington Green Stakes · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Remington Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-03-05 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-02-12 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-12-26 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 09/05/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |