1
Eff Thirty Five
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 111
Remington Park · Race 5 - Remington Green Stakes · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-06-27 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength94%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 22/03/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 18/04/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 27/06/2025 | 5th | 1/2 | 97% | 56% | -0.42 |
| 20/08/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |