4

Gigante

6yo Horse · 8-6 · OR 117

Remington Park · Race 5 - Remington Green Stakes · 1m 1f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Remington Park 07/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 113 · 7f110y Fm 121 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 113 par7/11C5OR 113C5 @ Fair Grounds 20/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 111 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 111 parC5 @ Fair Grounds 17/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 111 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 111 par17/01C5OR 111C1 @ Fair Grounds 14/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 110 · 1m1f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 110 parC5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 20/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 109 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 109 par20/03C5OR 109C5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 04/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 109 · 1m110y Fm 123 · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 109 parC6 @ Lone Star 03/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 110 · 1m Fas 124 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 110 par3/05C6OR 110C5 @ Lone Star 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 112 · 1m1f Fm 124 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 112 parC0 @ Charles Town 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 114 · 1m1f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 114 par29/08C?OR 114projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Charles Town?6th1st+4
2026-06-27Lone Star?3rd3rd0
2026-05-03Lone Star?1st2nd−1
2026-04-04Sam Houston Race Park?1st2nd−1
2026-03-20Sam Houston Race Park?4th5th−1
2026-02-14Fair Grounds?8th3rd+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1114/023/0529/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
20/12/20255th5/287%33%-0.54
17/01/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
14/02/20268th25/10%22%+0.22
20/03/20264th1/195%40%-0.55
04/04/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
03/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
27/06/20263rd13/891%60%-0.31
29/08/20266th14/126%44%+0.18