3
Seminole Chief
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 107
Remington Park · Race 5 - Remington Green Stakes · 1m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | −1 | ||
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 29/03/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/05/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 28/02/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |