5

Truly Quality

6yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 116

Remington Park · Race 5 - Remington Green Stakes · 1m 1f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Del Mar 31/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 117 · 1m3f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2025 · OR 117 par31/08C?OR 117C0 @ Del Mar 28/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 115 · 1m4f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 115 parC5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 25/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 116 · 1m4f Yie 123 · below its mark25/01/2026 · OR 116 par25/01C5OR 116C1 @ Santa Anita 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 115 · 1m2f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 115 parC1 @ Santa Anita 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 116 · 1m4f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 116 par22/03C1OR 116C0 @ Keeneland 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 120 · 1m4f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 120 parC5 @ Laurel Park 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 118 · 1m1f Fm 120 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 118 par27/06C5OR 118C5 @ Woodbine 08/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 112 · 1m3f Fm 121 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 112 parC5 @ Kentucky Downs 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 107 · 2m110y Fm 124 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 107 par9/09C5OR 107projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kentucky Downs?6th6th0
2026-08-08Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-06-27Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2026-04-18Keeneland?5th0th+4
2026-03-22Santa Anita?4th-1th+4
2026-02-14Santa Anita?3rd-2th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0814/0227/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20254th4/179%63%-0.16
28/11/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
25/01/20263rd1/195%71%-0.23
14/02/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10
22/03/20264th11/1094%57%-0.37
18/04/20265th16/116%60%+0.44
27/06/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
08/08/20266th5/287%50%-0.37
09/09/20266th7/163%29%-0.35