Danzing Daisy

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 86

Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.2

Today:

Class gap: -0.2

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-15	Del Mar	?	2nd	5th	−3	5.0
2026-07-26	Del Mar	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-03-15	Santa Anita	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-02-14	Santa Anita	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-01-17	Santa Anita	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2025-12-08	Los Alamitos Racecourse	?	5th	3rd	+2	6.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength93%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
31/08/2025	6th	13/2	66%	38%	-0.28
05/10/2025	2nd	3/1	84%	89%	+0.05
09/11/2025	2nd	10/3	82%	88%	+0.05
08/12/2025	5th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00
17/01/2026	3rd	5/1	74%	78%	+0.04
14/02/2026	5th	16/1	16%	56%	+0.40
15/03/2026	4th	6/1	68%	70%	+0.02
26/07/2026	3rd	16/1	16%	78%	+0.62
15/08/2026	2nd	13/8	91%	88%	-0.04