6
Kitty Mac
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 75
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-08-01 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +20.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 01/08/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |