Big Soiree
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 77
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/09/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/10/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |