Mastery Kat
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 77
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-07-03 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-06-08 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 26/02/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 17/03/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 08/06/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 03/07/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |