1
Rythem Girl
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 84
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 11/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |