Sexy Blue
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 74
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 26/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |