Theresasilverlinin
6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 70
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-08-07 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 04/09/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |