3
Camila Catalina
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 90
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 08/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 71% | -0.24 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |