6
Cortina D'amprezzo
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 103
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -9.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 13/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 93% | +0.02 |
| 06/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 5/6 | 96% | 29% | -0.67 |