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Dare Greatly

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 87

Santa Anita · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Colonial Downs 08/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 38 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark08/08/2025 · OR 38 par8/08C7OR 38C6 @ Colonial Downs 11/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 63 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark11/09/2025 · OR 63 parC5 @ Gulfstream 18/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 68 · 7f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 68 par18/10C5OR 68C5 @ Gulfstream 29/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/11/2025 · OR 76 parC6 @ Oaklawn Park 27/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 76 · 1m110y 120 · beat its mark27/12/2025 · OR 76 par27/12C6OR 76C6 @ Oaklawn Park 08/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 77 · 1m110y 121 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 77 parC6 @ Oaklawn Park 05/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 83 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 83 par5/03C6OR 83C6 @ Oaklawn Park 26/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 83 · 1m110y 122 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 83 parC5 @ Del Mar 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 84 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 84 par4/09C5OR 84projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Del Mar?3rd2nd+1
2026-03-26Oaklawn Park?1st2nd−1
2026-03-05Oaklawn Park?3rd4th−1
2026-02-08Oaklawn Park?2nd3rd−1
2025-12-27Oaklawn Park?3rd4th−1
2025-11-29Gulfstream?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0829/115/034/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20252nd9/153%91%+0.38
11/09/20252nd6/594%90%-0.04
18/10/20254th33/10%70%+0.70
29/11/20252nd20/10%80%+0.80
27/12/20253rd5/174%71%-0.02
08/02/20262nd13/266%86%+0.20
05/03/20263rd5/287%75%-0.12
26/03/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
04/09/20263rd13/266%50%-0.16