2
Soul Sister
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 99
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |