Ahrens
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 106
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Santa Anita Sprint Championship S. Presented By Estrella Jalisco - Grade 2 · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-05-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-03-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 14th | −6 |
| 2026-02-20 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 11th | −8 |
| 2026-01-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 16th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +13.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |