2

Imagination

5yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 108

Santa Anita · Race 4 - Santa Anita Sprint Championship S. Presented By Estrella Jalisco - Grade 2 · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

84%

Place Prob

61%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Del Mar 01/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 98 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark01/09/2024 · OR 98 par1/09C5OR 98C6 @ Santa Anita 26/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 105 · 1m110y Fas 119 · below its mark26/10/2024 · OR 105 parC0 @ Santa Anita 26/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 108 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/12/2024 · OR 108 par26/12C?OR 108C0 @ Santa Anita 25/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 114 · 1m1f Fas 122 · beat its mark25/01/2025 · OR 114 parC0 @ Santa Anita 29/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 116 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 116 par29/09C?OR 116C0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 111 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 111 parC0 @ Churchill Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 117 · 7f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 117 par2/05C?OR 117C1 @ Saratoga 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 114 · 6f110y 124 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 114 parC1 @ Churchill Downs 28/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 115 · 1m 120 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 115 par28/06C1OR 115projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Churchill Downs?9th9th−0
2026-06-06Saratoga?4th4th−0
2026-05-02Churchill Downs?4th4th+0
2025-11-01Del Mar?2nd2nd+0
2025-09-29Santa Anita?1st1st0
2025-01-25Santa Anita?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0925/012/0528/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/20243rd13/266%67%+0.01
26/10/20242nd5/287%80%-0.07
26/12/20243rd11/271%60%-0.11
25/01/20254th10/1195%50%-0.45
29/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
01/11/20252nd15/261%92%+0.32
02/05/20264th8/158%70%+0.12
06/06/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
28/06/20269th5/174%11%-0.63