
Imagination
5yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 108
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Santa Anita Sprint Championship S. Presented By Estrella Jalisco - Grade 2 · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
84%
Place Prob
61%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | −0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2024 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 26/10/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 26/12/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 25/01/2025 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.32 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 28/06/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 11% | -0.63 |