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Listenupshance

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 108

Santa Anita · Race 4 - Santa Anita Sprint Championship S. Presented By Estrella Jalisco - Grade 2 · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Del Mar 09/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 85 · 5f Fm 121 · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 85 par9/08C6OR 85C6 @ Del Mar 07/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 91 · 5f Fm 119 · below its mark07/09/2025 · OR 91 parC6 @ Santa Anita 12/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 6f Fm 120 · below its mark12/10/2025 · OR 90 par12/10C6OR 90C8 @ Del Mar 23/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 98 · 5f Fas 120 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 98 parC5 @ Santa Anita 16/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 104 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark16/02/2026 · OR 104 par16/02C5OR 104C1 @ Santa Anita 29/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 109 · 7f Fas 120 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 109 parC6 @ Santa Anita 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 107 · 6f Fm 124 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 107 par2/05C6OR 107C1 @ Saratoga 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 110 · 6f110y 120 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 110 parC0 @ Del Mar 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 109 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 109 par26/07C?OR 109projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Del Mar?1st1st+0
2026-06-06Saratoga?3rd3rd−0
2026-05-02Santa Anita?3rd9th−5
2026-03-29Santa Anita?2nd2nd−0
2026-02-16Santa Anita?2nd7th−4
2025-11-23Del Mar?1st10th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0823/112/0526/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
07/09/202512th40/10%0%0.00
12/10/20256th8/158%29%-0.29
23/11/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
16/02/20262nd12/137%75%+0.38
29/03/20262nd12/137%80%+0.43
02/05/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31
06/06/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
26/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32