4
March Of Time
5yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 113
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Santa Anita Sprint Championship S. Presented By Estrella Jalisco - Grade 2 · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -4.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-06-28 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2025-02-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2024-12-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2023-12-16 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 9th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2023 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 27/12/2024 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 01/02/2025 | 3rd | 4/7 | 97% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |