5
Maximum Bourbon
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 113
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Santa Anita Sprint Championship S. Presented By Estrella Jalisco - Grade 2 · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -4.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-02-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2025-12-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 11th | −5 |
| 2025-11-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 11th | −8 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength93%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 20/12/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |