Fight Back
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 94
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-08-21 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 09/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 05/09/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |