3

Smooth Salute

6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 99

Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength2%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Del Mar 07/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 97 · 1m110y Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/08/2025 · OR 97 par7/08C7OR 97C7 @ Del Mar 02/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 101 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 101 parC8 @ Santa Anita 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 99 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 99 par24/10C8OR 99C8 @ Santa Anita 25/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 99 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark25/01/2026 · OR 99 parC8 @ Santa Anita 13/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 97 · 1m1f Fm 124 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 97 par13/03C8OR 97C8 @ Santa Anita 24/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 97 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 97 parC1 @ Santa Anita 15/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 99 · 1m6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 99 par15/06C1OR 99C8 @ Del Mar 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 105 · 1m1f Fm 119 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 105 parC8 @ Del Mar 06/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 103 · 1m1f Fm 119 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 103 par6/09C8OR 103projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Del Mar?10th10th0
2026-07-24Del Mar?8th8th0
2026-06-15Santa Anita?9th1st+7
2026-04-24Santa Anita?4th4th0
2026-03-13Santa Anita?3rd3rd0
2026-01-25Santa Anita?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0825/0115/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20253rd25/10%71%+0.71
02/09/202510th20/10%18%+0.18
24/10/20253rd9/276%67%-0.10
25/01/20264th9/276%25%-0.51
13/03/20263rd16/116%50%+0.34
24/04/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
15/06/20269th50/10%0%0.00
24/07/20268th40/10%0%0.00
06/09/202610th50/10%18%+0.18