2

Spiritual Advisor

6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 91

Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 16/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 102 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/01/2025 · OR 102 par16/01C6OR 102C6 @ Santa Anita 14/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 104 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2025 · OR 104 parC6 @ Santa Anita 20/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 99 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/04/2025 · OR 99 par20/04C6OR 99C5 @ Santa Anita 24/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 101 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2025 · OR 101 parC6 @ Santa Anita 20/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 98 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 98 par20/03C6OR 98C6 @ Santa Anita 24/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 95 · 1m Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 95 parC8 @ Santa Anita 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 92 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 92 par13/06C8OR 92C8 @ Del Mar 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 92 · 1m Fas 125 · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 92 parC8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 93 · 1m Fas 125 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 93 par11/09C8OR 93projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Los Alamitos Racecourse?3rd3rd0
2026-07-30Del Mar?5th5th0
2026-06-13Santa Anita?3rd3rd0
2026-05-24Santa Anita?7th5th+2
2026-03-20Santa Anita?8th6th+2
2025-05-24Santa Anita?4th0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0124/0513/0611/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20252nd7/282%86%+0.04
14/02/20254th7/282%57%-0.24
20/04/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
24/05/20254th20/10%40%+0.40
20/03/20268th16/116%22%+0.06
24/05/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
13/06/20263rd10/382%60%-0.22
30/07/20265th8/158%50%-0.08
11/09/20263rd11/893%50%-0.43