Tessuto
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 102
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 30/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 29/12/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |